Examining Videos of Suspected Bandits in West Pokot

The video featuring alleged bandits in Kainuk was published online on December 13, 2023, It was subsequently shared by online users. The latter casting doubts about whether these were truly bandits or simply usual herders since it is a longstanding practice of Northern Kenyan pastoralist communities to carry guns while looking after their cattle.

The three armed men and a young man.

The video shows four dark-skinned men, one of whom seems to be a young man. Three are in possession of AK-47 rifles while the young man appears unarmed. All of them are wearing vests and short pants as they share a drink from a bottle while engaging in a conversation, under the scorching sun, soon followed by unison movement down the open field in the arid landscape.

The Nation was unable to unmask the men's faces as the drone footage wasn't clear enough to reveal facial details.

However, the Nation was able to establish that the three men were armed with guns even though this is currently outlawed in the North Rift region.

In February, President William Ruto issued a directive that deems carrying guns illegal for anyone in the North Rift region, especially in Suguta Valley, Kapedo, Tiaty Arabal, and Kainuk. This move came in response to the sporadic attacks from bandits who had been causing havoc in the region at that time.

Moreover, the government also provided a three-day amnesty period for the surrender of illegal firearms. The voluntary disarmament exercise allowed for the surrender of guns without repercussions.

This initiative saw little success, with only 15 firearms being voluntarily surrendered out of a projected 2,500 in the area.

Location

Looking at the video itself there were interesting features contained within it, but not enough to confirm exactly where the four men were spotted.

However, we were able to geolocate the probable position of the four men close to the Laiteruk mountains just East of Kainuk (1.742419699599305, 35.72943168300764). Here’s how.

Towards the tail end of the video footage, there is a fast zoom-out revealing the middle ground which contains a vast forest that pans toward the background that has two hilltop positions on the horizon.

The two hills in the background can be matched to this location using a panorama on Google Earth Pro.

For conclusive confirmation, we used the PeakVisor platform to simulate different views and angles until we obtained the best configuration that matched the shape of hills in the background, as per the perspective captured by the drone footage.

PeakVisor equally pointed out Laiteruk, a Mountain peak in Turkana County.

Through this contextual information Nation further established that the armed bandits roamed in an area within 20 kilometers East of Kainuk town.

The hills and the vast forest can all be seen from the drone’s field of view, as highlighted in the red triangle in Google Earth imagery below.

Date and time

The footage was privately shared with Nation by closed-sources within the Kenya Defence Forces who did not wish to reveal further information on when this footage was recorded.

However, the video was made publicly available on December 13. For the purposes of shadow analysis, we will set the date as December 12. Given the small date range, this may result in minimal inaccuracy.

Using SunCalc, a shadow analysis of the video shows the armed bandits were lurking within Kainuk at a time of about 13:00. It should be noted that due to the lack of clear landmarks, this is a rough assessment, with a margin of error of an hour or so.

The latest escalation

This footage comes after recent reports of bandits carrying out a fierce shootout in Lochacha village, Parkou sub-location on November 28, which left 6 people killed and 16 people hospitalized with injuries in various hospitals across West Pokot County.